Цитата Сообщение от Chizh
Сейчас Китай развивается стремительней Тайваня и скоро наступит момент когда островитяне сами запросятся на историческую родину.
ИМХО Никакой войны у них не будет, а будет что-то вроде поглощения Китаем Гон-Конга на основании договоренностей.
Ну скажем Китаю стремительней развиваться по размеру его территории легче . Хотя кто знает куда дальше это развитие пойдет народу то особо ничего не переподает. На счет войны согласен скорее всего не будет а вот на счет соединения врядли Гон Конг все же был арендован и возвращен по истечению аредны . Тайвань же с самого начала не признал Китайское правительство законным поэтому политический выступает как бунтарь.

Вот кстати последние данные об Тайване:

Geography
Area: 35,967 sq. km. (13,887 sq. mi.).
Cities (June 2004): Capital--Taipei (pop. 2.6 million). Other cities--(Kaohsiung 1.5 million), Taichung (1.0 million).
Terrain: Largely mountainous.
Climate: Maritime subtropical.

People
Population (2004 est): 22.7 million.
Annual growth rate (2004 est): 0.34%.
Languages: Mandarin Chinese (official), Taiwanese, Hakka.
Education: Years compulsory--9. Attendance (2003)--99.5%. Literacy (2003)—97.0%.
Health: Infant mortality rate (2004)--0.54%. Life expectancy (2003 )--male 73.4 yrs.; female 79.1yrs.
Work force (June 2004): 10.126 million.

Political Establishment
Type: Multi-party democracy. There are four major parties forming two alliances known as Pan-Blue and Pan-Green. The Pan-Blue includes the KMT and the People First Party (PFP). The Pan-Green includes the DPP and the Taiwan Solidarity Union (TSU), with the Pan-Blue holding a slight majority of seats in the legislature.
Constitution: December 25, 1946; last amended 2000.
Branches (Yuan): Executive, Legislative, Judicial, Control, Examination.
Major political parties: Democratic Progressive Party (DPP); Kuomintang (KMT--Nationalist Party); People First Party (PFP); Taiwan Solidarity Union (TSU).
Suffrage: Universal over 20 years of age.
Central budget proposed (FY 2005): $48.1 billion.
Defense (2005): 15.40% of entire budget.

Economy
GNP (2004): $316 billion.
Annual growth rate (2004): 5.9%.
Per capita GNP (2003): $13,995.
Unemployment (Nov. 2004) 4.1%.
Natural resources: Small deposits of coal, natural gas, limestone, marble and asbestos.
Agriculture (1.7% of GDP): Major products--pork, rice, fruit and vegetables, sugarcane, poultry, shrimp, eel.
Services: 68.5% of GDP.
Industry (29.7% of GDP): Types--electronics and computer products, chemicals and petrochemicals, basic metals, machinery, textiles, transport equipment, plastics, machinery.
Trade (2004): Exports--$174 billion: electronics, information & communications products, textile products, basic metals, plastic & rubber products. Major markets--U.S. $28 billion, P.R.C. and Hong Kong $64 billion, Japan $13 billion. Imports--$168 billion: elecronics, information & communications products, machinery & electrical products, chemicals, basic metals, transport equipment, crude oil. Major suppliers--Japan $43.6 billion, U.S. $21.6 billion, P.R.C. $18.8 billion.

PEOPLE
Taiwan has a population of 22.7 million. More than 18 million, the "native" Taiwanese are descendants of Chinese who migrated from Fujian and Guangdong Provinces on the mainland, primarily in the 18th and 19th centuries. The "mainlanders," who arrived on Taiwan after 1945, came from all parts of mainland China. About 370,000 aborigines inhabit the mountainous central and eastern parts of the island and are believed to be of Malayo-Polynesian origin.

Education
A 9-year public educational system has been in effect since 1979. Six years of elementary school and 3 years of junior high are compulsory for all children. About 93.5% of junior high graduates continue their studies in either a senior high or vocational school. Taiwan has an extensive higher education system with more than 150 institutions of higher learning. Each year over 100,000 students attempt to enter higher education institutes; about 75% of the candidates are admitted to a college or university. Opportunities for graduate education are expanding in Taiwan, but many students travel abroad for advanced education, including 13,000 who study in the United States annually.

Languages
A large majority of people on Taiwan speak Mandarin Chinese, which has been the medium of instruction in the schools for more than four decades. Native Taiwanese and many others also speak one of the Southern Fujianese dialects, Min-nan, also known as Taiwanese. Recently there has been a growing use of Taiwanese in the broadcast media. The Hakka, who are concentrated in several counties throughout Taiwan, have their own distinct dialect. As a result of the half century of Japanese rule, many people over age 60 also can speak Japanese. The method of Chinese romanization most commonly used in Taiwan is the Wade-Giles system. In 2002, Taiwan authorities announced adoption of the pinyin system also used on the Mainland to replace the Wade-Giles system but its use is not consistent throughout society, resulting in many place names having two or more romanizations for the same place or person.

Religions
According to Taiwan's Interior Ministry figures, there are about 11.2 million religious believers in Taiwan, with more than 75% identifying themselves as Buddhists or Taoists. At the same time there is a strong belief in Chinese folk religion throughout the island. These are not mutually exclusive, and many people practice a combination of the three. Confucianism also is an honored school of thought and ethical code. Christian churches have been active on Taiwan for many years, and today the island has more than 600,000 Christians, a majority of whom are Protestant.

Culture
Taiwan's culture is a blend of its distinctive Chinese heritage and Western influences. Fine arts, folk traditions, and popular culture embody traditional and modern, Asian, and Western motifs. One of Taiwan's greatest attractions is the Palace Museum, which houses over 650,000 pieces of Chinese bronze, jade, calligraphy, painting, and porcelain. This collection was moved from the mainland in 1949 when Chiang Kai-shek's Nationalist Party (KMT) fled to Taiwan. The collection is so extensive that only 1% is on display at any one time.

http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/35855.htm